MARCH 2016 Vol. 4 Issue 1

Signals of war

Signals show tensions rising and divisions growing. Time to Invest in Peace. Is it possible?

 

Ad_WebinarWelcome to the Webinar hosted by TIGE.

Details

  • Date: 5 th April 16:00 – 17:00 CET
  • Host: Initiatives of Change http://iofc.org
  • Theme: how to invest in Peace
  • Objectives: An overview of possibilities to invest in other ways, at personal ´, community and policy level.
  • Sign up: Free
  • Access: you will need a web link (coming soon on this page)

JUNE 2015 Vol. 3 Issue 3

Environmental Fiscal Reform: looking back in 2015

A look back at what has been happening during the first half of the year in EFR: the economic system’s downsides are revealing themselves as environmental pressures rise. The case for environmental fiscal reform has never been stronger.

MARCH 2015 Vol. 3 Issue 2

Newsletter MARCH 2015 Vol. 1 Issue 2

The environment is sending a bill. We are still paying for the wrong things.

The recent update to Planetary Boundaries (link) underlines that four of nine environmental boundaries have been crossed by human activity. Environmental degradation is affecting economies badly. At the same time, they are performing poorly on equitable distribution and food and housing security. Inclusion, too is becoming a challenge. The term Environmental Fiscal Reform, which first appeared in the early 2000s, appears more frequently amid signs that the economic system itself is coming under pressure. In the run-up to the climate talks in Paris later this year, business leaders and environmentalists alike are asking for serious reforms.

APOLOGIES FOR TECHNICAL HITCH

We extend sincere apologies to our subscribers for the recent malfunction of our newsletter system where several subscribers received up to ten copies of the same e-mail. We have issued support tickets and are working with our provider to resolve the issue.

We have found the problem and are now testing whether the changes we have made have resolved the issue.

Apologies once again for the inconvenience.

Stephen Hinton

Signals

JANUARY 2015 Environmental Fiscal Reform Special

Newsletter JANUARY 2015 Vol. 3 Issue 1

Environmental Fiscal Reform Special Edition

FOR BUSINESS TO SERVE HUMANITY THE POLICY FRAMEWORK THAT SURROUNDS IT MUST BE FIT FOR PURPOSE. CURRENT PERFORMANCE SUGGESTS THAT THE ECONOMIC SYSTEM BADLY NEEDS REFORMING.  IT IS DRIVING HUMAN BEHAVIOUR TO EXTRACT FROM NATURE BEYOND NATURAL LIMITS. IT IS TRANSFERRING WEALTH UPWARDS AND IN GENERAL CREATING A LUSTRELESS SOCIETY. ECONOMIC FISCAL REFORM IS THE TERM BEING USED TO DESCRIBE THE CHANGE.

Signals of blatant dissatisfaction with economic policy and the functioning of the economic system have been increasing recently. The term Environmental Fiscal Reform, which first appeared in the early 2000s, appears more frequently amid signs that the economic system itself is coming under pressure. Fiscal reform is about what governments do with the taxes they collect. The guidance they are given from mainstream economists is seriously under doubt.  In the run-up to the climate talks in Paris later this year, business leaders and environmentalists alike are asking for serious reforms.

This edition of signals produced in cooperation with the Swedish Sustainable Economy Foundation.

Newsletter NOVEMBER 2014 Vol. 2 Issue 10

Big data + Big networks= Big changes

 

AS THE WORLD BECOMES EVER MORE CONNECTED, AS PEOPLE NETWORK AND AS QUALITY OF DATA IMPROVES IS IT POSSIBLE THAT THE COLLECTIVE CONSCIOUSNESS OF HUMANITY WILL TAKE A STEP BACK AND START TO GRASP ANOTHER REALITY? THERE ARE SIGNALS THAT THIS MAY BE ABOUT TO HAPPEN.

Signals: from being seen as nothing more than an advanced adding machine, the computer and the digitization it makes possible have offered multi dimensions of new possibilities. But is the “killer app” yet to be invented? Are we just not still digitizing last-century business models? Is society only just waking up to the possibilities its wireless, networked, big data society offers? Signals show that mobile devices connected to big data can indeed mean significant changes to how we farm, and that just by looking at big data we can start to grasp insights previously out of reach. The consequences are huge, and present a real challenge to policy makers and leaders as well as opportunities to entrepreneurs.

Comment.

The links below point to big data being collected and used, and big networks forming in ways that will challenge the fundamentals of how we manage society and run our businesses. The wise leader would do well to follow these signals.

SUPPORTING LINKS

http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2014/11/monsanto-big-data-gmo-climate-change

Monsanto has recently acquired a giant within big data, and is providing farmers with a mobile app that combines data from weather forecasts with modeling microclimate conditions to show when and where to plant. Fields in the US have been mapped to a 10 by 10 meter resolution. A crop chemical company becomes a big data company too.

http://techcrunch.com/2014/06/20/satellogic-launch/

A new start-up is launching a series of satellites so small they take a fraction of the energy of conventional satellites to launch.  Using an open interface people can create their own applications using the data to deliver a wide range of services – some we have not even thought of yet. Viewing the planet in this way can open up completely new ways to take care of the Earth.

http://visibleearth.nasa.gov/

Maybe the shift in understanding started with the photos of the Earth from space. What had been a theory back in the 1500s we could see with our own eyes that one planet, we have one planet, and that’s all we have.

http://ipcc.ch/report/ar5/index.shtml

After years of sifting through data, modelling and following actual trends scientists are confident that human activity is affecting the climate system. Had we not had big data and the big netwrok of scientists involved we had probably never come to this conclusion. We have reached a point where all of us feel responsibility for the planet, the arguments are logical and persuasive.

Modelling human networks

http://www.ted.com/talks/nicholas_christakis_the_hidden_influence_of_social_networks#

Data crunching capability makes it possible to see who is talking to whom about various subjects, even giving us the ability to study human behavior online. This links goes to the TED talk of Nicholas Christakis

http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/apr/12/capitalism-isnt-working-thomas-piketty

Indeed, there is a possibility that number-crunching economists will be able to sift through terabytes of historical data to challenge even the most cherished beliefs about human nature and economics. This is what Thomas Piketty did.

http://stephenhinton.org/2014/11/25/is-big-data-and-the-big-network-helping-humanity-reach-new-heights/

The blog on stephenhinton.org argues that by using big data to create an overall picture, people can form an understanding by stepping back and considering what they have seen, and then go on to form large networks to create the change they want to see

http://tssef.se/?p=469

Alternative economic policy think tanks like the Swedish Sustainable Economy Foundation are saying that as everything in the economy is digitized, and information about sales, unemployment, benefit costs etc is available real-time, it might be better to steer the economy based on how it is actually performing rather than using monetary measure points alone.

They are proposing a real-time monitoring of the economy connected to flexible steering mechanisms and a good deal of room to maneuver to market forces. The Foundation believes market forces need to be given clear boundaries within which to operate, but be left alone to solve problems.

 

Arrange a simulation session to learn more about how big data on real performance, rather than relying on money measurements alone, can create the circular, high performing economy.

http://stephenhinton.org/2014/08/15/1790/

To illustrate their principles, the Foundation TSSEF is offering, together with Stephen Hinton Consulting,  to run a simulation set up as a management game. They promise everyone will gain at least one or two insights  from simulating the economy.

http://stephenhinton.org/contact/

Contact us to discuss simulations of economic policy or how we can facilitate dialogues around how to handle big data big network issues and opportunities in your organization.

 

Newsletter OCTOBER 2014 Vol. 2 Issue 9. KEEP FOCUS ON OIL, DESIGN IT OUT IN TIME

Time is running out to design organisations that function in an oil constrained world

THIS TIME, FALLING OIL PRICES ARE NOT AN INVITATION TO PARTY ON CHEAP ENERGY. THEY ARE A SIGNAL TO INCREASE THE PACE OF TRANSITION TO RENEWABLE ENERGY SOCIETY.
Signals: Falling oil prices could be a sign that a recession is on its way. And in a recession it can be hard to find the investment capital to do what needs to be done before the recession eases: invest in the new, renewable economy. Ironic. When times are good, everyone wants to invest in fossil fuels. When times are bad investing in renewables is out of the question. This has to change. And governments and economists want to move the change along with carbon taxes. Whole business models must change. At the right time, of course.

Newsletter SEPTEMBER 2014 Vol. 2 Issue 8 EVERYTHING IS CHANGED

Climate change will force us to ditch old paradigms. Enterprise will go on even if capitalism doesn’t.

REPORTER AND AUTHOR NAOMI KLEIN RELEASES HER BOOK This Changes Everything: Capitalism vs. the Climate NAMING THAT CHERISHED PARADIGMS ARE BREAKING AS CLIMATE CHANGE ADVANCES AND THE PERFORMANCE OF CAPITALISM LOOKS EVER MORE SHODDY AS A WAY TO PROVIDE ESSENTIALS TO HUMANITY
Signals: Sooner or later the things we have been ignoring, brushing under the carpet, get named by brave individuals. Once a voice with enough authority and context gives it a name, it has to be dealt with. Naomi Klein, a brilliant reporter and sharp mind does just this in her new book.As she states clearly: Capitalism, since it was unshackled by the deregulation of the 1980s, has widened the gap between rich and poor. The top 3% held 55% of all wealth last year, up from 45% in 1989. The bottom 90% controlled 24.7% of wealth, according to statistics released this month by the Federal Reserve. The book represents a new wave of signals – bringing leaders, policy makers, thinkers and householders to confront cherished beliefs. 

Newsletter AUGUST 2014 Vol. 2 Issue 7 The funnel, the game change and the dialogue.

Searching for ways to reflect on leadership challenges

HOW DO YOU EXPLAIN THE NEED TO ADAPT NOT JUST OUR CORPORATIONS, BUT OUR WAY OF SEEING THINGS? THIS IS THE LEADERSHIP CHALLENGE SIGNALS TAKES ON AS EUROPE TAKES ITS SUMMER VACATIONS.
Signals: Thinking about the way we think was once popular in strategic circles. No so much anymore. However, at least we question our assumptions more, thanks to the rise of great minds like Peter Senge http://executive.mit.edu/faculty/profile/30-peter-senge and Donella Meadows http://www.donellameadows.org/. We need to sit back and reflect. The signals we are seeing tell us that the collision course with nature we are all bound on will be the trainwreck of the century, and the solutions we need to look for are not on the level of changing light bulbs, but in the very way we perceive the world. We need to redefine what we mean by growth, how we see the economy and how we as strategists advise the organisations we work for.

Newsletter JULY 2014 Vol. 2 Issue 6 Land, Lives and Peace Special

STEPPING ASIDE FROM OUR NORMAL PRACTICE OF OFFERING EVIDENCE FROM THE MEDIA REPORTS, THIS ISSUE REPORTS FROM THE CONFERENCE ON LAND, LIVES AND PEACE RECENTLY HELD IN SWITZERLAND. WE AIM TO DRAW THE ESSENCE FROM THE MANY WORKSHOPS, KEYNOTE SPEECHES AND INFORMAL DIALOGUES THAT MADE UP THIS IN-DEPTH GLOBAL CONFERENCE. WE END WITH A BRIEF ANALYSIS OF CONSEQUENCES FOR STRATEGIC MANAGEMENT.

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Signals: Internationally we are facing a true predicament: the wider community of practice encompassing military, security, food security, land issues and development planning has amassed a huge amount of data and insight into the immediate risks humanity faces. Simple basics like the access to land and looking after land so it can provide food and other basic functions are lacking. At the same time, a deep frustration is expressed by the community in the apparent lack of a collective awareness and ability to address these very practical needs. It is as if we are living in a culture of predicament, standing shocked and scared unable to move.